Move over Biden: job tailor-made for Hillary
Illustration: Rocco Fazzari
The beginning of a new year is a time for resolutions, and Hillary Clinton's admirers are already busily, lovingly resolving on her behalf. On one sideline, her friends tell me that after a few years of hyperactive globetrotting what she really needs is to put her feet up and dictate another volume of her memoirs while nagging Chelsea to deliver grandchildren.
At the other extreme, a couple of Democratic consultants, Patrick Caddell and Douglas Schoen, propose to draft her right now as the 2012 Democratic presidential candidate, whether she likes it or not. (''Not only is Mrs Clinton better positioned to win in 2012 than Mr Obama, but she is better positioned to govern if she does,'' they wrote in The Wall Street Journal.)
Other helpful devotees have noticed Brown University is looking for a new president, or have imagined that maybe Ruth Bader Ginsburg will decide to put her feet up, leaving a seat on the Supreme Court. But the right choice is none of the above.
Hillary Clinton is 64 years old, with a Calvinist work ethic, the stamina of an Olympian, an EQ to match her IQ, and the political instincts of a Clinton. She was a perfectly plausible president four years ago, and that was before she demonstrated her gifts as a diplomatic snake-charmer. (Never mind Pakistan and Libya, I'm talking about the Obama White House.)
She is, says Gallup, the most admired woman in America for the 10th year in a row, ahead of Oprah Winfrey, Michelle Obama, Sarah Palin and Condoleezza Rice; her approval rating of 64 per cent is the highest of any political figure in the country.
So it's too early to hang up the big ambition. The proposal to draft her in place of Obama this year is preposterous. It exaggerates the President's vu! lnerabil ity and discounts her loyalty.
But the idea that she should replace Joe Biden as Obama's running mate in 2012 is something else. It has been authoritatively, emphatically dismissed by Clinton, Biden and Team Obama. But it's time to take it seriously. The arguments in favour are as simple as one-two-three.
One: it does more to guarantee Obama's re-election than anything else the Democrats can do.
Two: it improves the chances that, come next January, he will not be a lame duck with a gridlocked Congress but a rejuvenated president with a mandate and a Congress that may be a little less forbidding.
Three: it makes Hillary the party's heir apparent in 2016.
What excites is not just the prospect of having a woman a heartbeat - and four years - away from the presidency, but the possibility that the first woman at the top would have qualifications so manifest that her first-ness was a secondary consideration.
The biggest obstacle to this scenario is, of course, President Barack Obama, reinforced by the people around him. The Obamas have long regarded the Clintons as representing the tawdry side of politics: the deal-cutting, the calculating, the endless schmoozing, the permanent campaign - in short, the things that this professorial president could have used more of in his first term.
The Clintons -Bill, at least - have tended to see Obama as politically naive, steeped in youthful arrogance, a loner, happier to be right than successful.
The Obama inner circle believes the President doesn't need Hillary to win a second term. Just now, when the Republican field looks like a bug-spattered windshield and the most likely nominee strikes many in his own party as an empty suit, that confidence is understandable.
But Democrats should not get too cocky. Mitt Romney has a case to make to voters and the resources to make it. In Iowa, he brought down Newt Gingrich with an ''independent'' attack machine with considerable firepower. Moreover, even if Obama can win without! Hillary , there's a lot to be said for running up the score.
One reason Republicans did so well in the 2010 congressional elections is that they overcame the gender gap and carried women voters 51-49. Those voters will flock back to Hillary, the more so if the Republican ticket is locked into a culture-war agenda. So, by the way, will Hispanic voters, securing such endangered states as Florida, New Mexico, Nevada and Colorado.
Vice-president Clinton would be a formidable asset in governing as well as campaigning, both as a political calculator and as an emissary to Capitol Hill. She has, to put it mildly, an ability to navigate the world of powerful, problematic men.
In the event that Obama has the good sense (or, if the economy fails to perk up, the sense of desperation) to offer her the vice-president's slot, some of her closest friends will implore her to decline. They will tell her that it means tarnishing her reputation by playing the second's traditional role of campaign attack dog. But that need not be the case. Like Romney, the Democrats can outsource to a ''super PAC'' the wet work that used to be the job of the running mate, letting Hillary stick to the high road. And whatever her friends say, there is no way the dutiful Methodist schoolgirl would turn down an ''I need you'' from the President.
That leaves the delicate question of ditching Joe Biden.
A political scientist I know proposes the following choreography: in the late northern winter or early spring, Hillary steps down as secretary of state to rest and write that book. The President assigns Biden - the former chairman of Senate Foreign Relations - to add State to his portfolio, making him the most powerful vice-president in history. Come the party convention in September, Obama swallows his considerable pride and invites a refreshed Hillary to join the ticket. Biden keeps State. The musicians play Happy Days Are Here Again as if they really mean it.
Of course, this is more exciting if it's a surpris! e, and n ow I've spoiled it. Sorry. But not as sorry as I'll be if - as I fear - it's just a fantasy.
Bill Keller is a columnist and former executive editor at The New York Times, where this article first appeared.
